The opposition parties that formed the front to meet head-on with BN coalition are getting closer to their ultimate; that is to replace the current BN in Putra Jaya in the coming General Election (GE); with or without Anwar Ibrahim.
Technically and morally the State of Perak is still under the opposition. The unprecedented coup staged by BN put the BN coalition at the helm is just temporary before the rakyat dispose them in the next GE.
The Perak state government was put up by the questionable court verdict. The State government is the government formed by the courts and has nothing to do with the wish of the people. The outcome of the GE in that state has already been pre-determined and predictable.
Hence all the 5 state governments currently under the control of the PR will be retained and PR is looking for a few more hot spots for them to make the way to march to Putra Jaya in the coming GE. If BN is still at this level of capacity the march by PR to Putra Jaya is not impossible.
I made some efforts to interact with the top leaders of the opposition fronts as some of them are my friends, real friends. All of them are now focusing on NS and Trengganu, and hope there will be some observable successes in Pahang and Johore.
Across the South China Sea, Sarawak will contribute another 10 Chinese dominated Parliamentary Constituencies to the opposition front as in that state BN is in the quiet beginning to crumble. That is what they say and I believe it.
Their presence in my state NS too is obvious and to them they are convinced that they can win another 6 to 7 seats apart from the current 15 that they have now for reasonably comfortable majority just after the next GE and that target is not unreachable.
They are in the process of searching and talent spotting for loyal candidates with high level of allegiance to their struggles and this is to avoid their winning candidate’s crossing over the bench for monetary considerations like what had happened in Perak.
The opposition is detailed in their findings and studying of situation of politics in the state. They now know how and which button to touch for them to succeed in the coming GE in the state.
The oppositions are not duly worried with some crossovers of PKR leaders to UMNO in the last few months as they are convinced that there would be massive UMNO and BN turncoats in the ballot boxes in the coming GE in NS.
“We want them to cross over to us in the ballot boxes in the GE’ said one of the top PKR leaders when I met them in KL recently.
When I asked him which are the seats that he feels prospective to fall he said “2 from Kuala Pilah, 1 from Jelebu, 1 more each from Seremban and Rembau and we are quite certain to snatch 1 each from Rasah and Tampin. We are working for another 1 from Jempol as well” he said confidently.
In the 2-hr tea time with this particular leader his confidence to take the NS government is because of the weaknesses of UMNO and BN leadership of NS. The restlessness of UMNO members in the sate is too clear for Mohammad Hasan to deny.
Mohamad Hasan has failed to put up good and recognizable leaders in every division in the sate for reasons known to everyone. It’s because of his personal politics.
He enjoys leaders who are subservient to him for him to bully and to reciprocate him with blind allegiance. He is suffering from serious superiority complex which tarnishes his administration by having court jesters around him whose duty is just to amuse him in perpetuity.
Mohammad in essence is a proud personality and his high nosed character is because of one clear reason; the wealth that he secured before becoming the MB. He is lavish in claiming that he has a wealth that can last for another four generations and he does not depend on corruption to make up the wealth like many others do.
I don’t know why he has to impress others that he is rich and it is just unacceptable to many who heard it especially by the politicians.
He is obsessed in making others to acknowledge him as wealthy man even before he became the MB. He does not stand honest critics. He thinks he is the best MB that NS has ever had and he acts like a leader who comes from paradise.
He hates to be humble and to respect individuals. He is very fond of branding anyone who disagrees with him by saying, “Ah, dia tu tak mendalamkan air. Jangan pedulilah dio tu.” This is crude word is an actual resemblance of a proud person. One does not need to be a genius to understand this.
He is disconnected with sincere and good hearted leaders and he is easily influenced by newly found sycophants who are all out to get personal political and economic gains out of him.
He suppresses his supporters and supports his weak and unattainable leaders around him who are not capable of assisting him to manage the state and the party. He appointed his elder brother to be the Secretary of UMNO liaison committee for quite a number of years and that was a clear illustration of his political insecurity
He respects nobody and distrusts everybody. He mixes only with the rich and the famous, and the rest are not within his wave length to get his friendship any longer.
I can’t see any division other than his that gives him unequivocal support. The lame duck Ismail Lasim, who is the Head for Kuala Pilah Division was once his strongest supporter but Ismail is not anymore a leader of any consequence in the division and is not able to permanently be Mohammad’s political henchman.
Mohammad has ostracized all budding leaders of the division to ensure Ismail to lead the division as long as he is the MB. By supporting Ismail, Mohammad is totally disconnected with other leaders in this important division.
He does that in all divisions in the state and his encroachment of the division’s democracy makes him to be an MB without observable support state wide.
He attempted to dispose Rais in Jelebu by encouraging his EXCO Yunus to challenge the information Minister but Rais managed to scrape through with just 11 votes majority, and that was enough to give shame to Rais, another obvious primadona in the state.
Mohammad Hasan’s dismal defeat in the recent Supreme Council election was mainly due to the insubordination from NS delegates. He hardly secured 20% votes from his own state delegates.
Thus the question is; how is he going to lead the state in the coming GE when he is in total impassiveness with the real and organically good leaders? The leaders ‘yang mendalamkan air’ are all outside the lineup in almost all divisions.
The confidence level of the opposition to take over the state administration will always be at the peak for as long as Mohammad leads the state BN.
I won’t be wrong here: there will be massive turn coats from UMNO in the coming GE in the ballot boxes. Don’t get exited with the recent crossover of the few PR Parliamentarians.
There will be tens of thousands of UMNO members’ crossing over in protest through the ballot boxes in the State of NS in the coming GE and almost a million of them nation-wide will opt to vote the alternative parties.
So NS will deliver another State government to PR. Anything happen in Trengganu will make up for at least 8 state governments in the hands of Pakatan Rakyat. In Trengganu UMNO is as good as dead.
Until to this date all my intuitions seldom went wrong. I bet you.