We can witness noticeable and strong
migrations of Umno members to Bersatu in most constituencies in Peninsula
Malaysia and unmistakable erosion of Umno support in Sabah, the party’s traditional
stronghold since the party’s presence there in October 1990. Hence Sabah will
cease to be Umno’s fixed deposit in short due. In actual fact Sabahan do not
want Umno to exist in the state any longer and their flavor is now for local
parties in control of the state government.
I don’t know for sure whether the
migrations of Umno members to Bersatu and other parties can break Umno, but the
situation is much worse than it was in the last General Election. In the last
GE Umno and its component in the peninsula performed the worst when the
coalition won just 133 seats out of which Umno won 89 seats which now have
reduced to only 80 seats with the sacking of some of its MPs and resignation of
few others who crossed the floor for the opposition bench.
In the coming GE, I am more
inclined to believe the findings of some serious political analysts that Umno
will maintain only 50 seats while the rest of the BN component in the peninsula
will be wiped out clean.
With a bit more workable and doable efforts,
Johor will be another state that will cease to be the party’s fixed deposit.
Johor and Sabah in recent few GEs was the strong bastion for Umno that keep the
party in a marginal control in the Federal Legislature. For Umno to claim Sabah
and Johor still as its fixed deposit is a severe error as Umno will be humiliated
in Sabah while in Johor the party’s support is assuredly waning. Do remember Sabah and Johor was the savior for Umno and BN in the last few elections and with the current glitches in Sabah and the dwindling support for Umno in Johor the chances of Umno to be in the opposition bench after the GE is seriously promising.
There are still reasonable
numbers who are still in the party at all levels but most of them are merely
dormant members and splinters of supporters who stay in the party to see who
will lead the party in the forthcoming General Election before they eventually decide which side to support. There are also some
splinters of supporters who write in the social media like fb who we should not
pay any devotion to these political novices. These inactive Umno members are in
reality very vulnerable and tendency for them to sway and turn coats in the
ballot boxes in the coming GE is conceivably expected.
At ground level Umno is already trampled
psychologically and not many of its members don't even have the courage to wear their
party’s t-shirts (the blue Umno t-shirt) and other merchandises in the open to evade
being cackled at. The party’s traditional activists are either working against
the party in favor for the oppositions or stay as dormant observers because they
have lost their confidence with their contemptible party leadership. Umno
leaders at the grassroots are in defensive genre and more often than not they
are feeling inferior to the relatively more calculable oppositions.
They are in reality not tallying
up with the replicated strength of the party. Umno is just left with the few
elites who are having the exuberant life with the personal doles they gain being
appointed to positions with high social standing together with few noisy cheer-leaders
who are oblivious of what Umno is all about but audaciously active in
court-jesting themselves wanting to be paid attention at in the social media in
particular the fb and some by highly paid bloggers.
However there are some who are
still in denial that Umno is fast dwindling in support from the people of all
races. Umno itself gives everyone reason not to be supported any longer. Umno
has failed to prop up leaders who are incorruptible with high magnanimity and
truthfulness. Umno has cultured corruption to an inconceivable level and power
has been abused brazenly without hindrances.
Any quarter that is critical towards
the government will be ostracized and detested from their positions. Some
others were victimized of their livelihood and this is nothing more and nothing
less similar to the manner a communist managing its country and people. Every
power is centered in the hands of a PM ever since the unabashed raping and
disbanding of separation of powers in this faked and distorted democratic
The consequences of scattering
the separation of power in managing the country were too injurious to the
country and we are now going through perdition beyond any civil mind can
compute. What is left in Umno-led Cabinet is just their inane ego and the party
is consistently in denial that is in grave danger of infinite loss of power.
However the only setback that the
Bersatu led opposition is that they don’t have serious and viable leader to
alternate Najib. The opposition has the similar problem with the current Cabinet
lineup. To choose among the present Cabinet lineup to replace Najib is a real
effort. For Zahid Hamidi or Hishamuddin to replace Najib is another grave error
while choosing one of the main leaders among the Bersatu-led opposition is
equally another threatening initiative.
Malaysians on the whole have yet
to come out with a serious solution to their soul-searching exercise. The fact
remains that we have to restart, reshape and to reorganize this nation anew
with new political ambience if we are still in need of a proper and fitting government
to govern us and our generation.
Right now we are in the fast lane to be in Zimbabwe with
different name. It's frightening!